Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.709160 0.904006 1.122568 1.383154 1.682655 2.013497 2.403947
2025-08-24 0.466799 0.719557 1.037763 1.455142 1.975715 2.591818 3.364074
2025-08-31 0.292832 0.555769 0.928532 1.463236 2.179234 3.075681 4.253032
2025-09-07 0.203439 0.472555 0.897657 1.554770 2.484985 3.699454 5.348635
2025-09-14 0.137031 0.396597 0.854358 1.613514 2.742687 4.270610 6.403625
2025-09-21 0.087926 0.326755 0.799842 1.640128 2.948563 4.776531 7.390538
2025-09-28 0.050302 0.256167 0.722323 1.612757 3.064749 5.157333 8.218884
2025-10-05 0.030515 0.214399 0.685403 1.642471 3.262587 5.655235 9.217877
2025-10-12 0.016940 0.176426 0.643570 1.653859 3.426997 6.106546 10.161738
2025-10-19 0.007161 0.134465 0.576820 1.605962 3.486730 6.401009 10.888764
2025-10-26 0.002468 0.102850 0.521923 1.569391 3.557575 6.709438 11.639196
2025-11-02 0.000766 0.083936 0.493714 1.581118 3.708664 7.142187 12.577255
2025-11-09 0.000053 0.061113 0.441786 1.534862 3.756996 7.422999 13.311276
2025-11-16 0.000001 0.053966 0.441379 1.604684 4.019591 8.050869 14.575967
2025-11-23 NaN 0.042218 0.415396 1.609563 4.161072 8.489020 15.567207
2025-11-30 NaN 0.039159 0.425977 1.705261 4.478643 9.220435 17.015082
2025-12-07 NaN 0.034036 0.423401 1.766814 4.732977 9.854757 18.327304
2025-12-14 NaN 0.027631 0.408881 1.794615 4.922007 10.385694 19.490986
2025-12-21 NaN 0.019625 0.375506 1.765228 4.994589 10.723584 20.363260
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015738 0.364709 1.796709 5.190068 11.271179 21.567846
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011908 0.348363 1.808755 5.344924 11.752134 22.674933
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007326 0.313613 1.757764 5.363917 11.999638 23.419335
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004355 0.284940 1.718820 5.404130 12.282585 24.222279